Tech/AI69 days left
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$3.6K
226 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 60 traders
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $15.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$32+6 new NO$94
$50 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $33 is directional: YES $0·NO $33YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-43.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+7.6%)
Whales
5
J
just-bettor🥇
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 57.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 58¢·22.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 72.1%
A
0xa169f83d...🥉
Entry 61¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 69.3%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 61¢·1.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 70¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 57.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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