260 days left
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
74¢
74% implied
NO Price
26¢
26% implied
Volume
$3.1K
188 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 70 traders · 1 on both sides
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $19.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs8 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 70%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$633+21 new NO$316
$173 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$23 of $225 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $59·NO $143YES Team
Total Invested
$174
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+17.1%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 71¢·80 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $56 · WR 72.2%
G
gesst🥈
Entry 58¢·60 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $35 · WR 69.8%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥉
Entry 55¢·60 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $33 · WR 67.1%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 97¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 55.8%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 73¢·15.9 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 59.7%
S
Spherical-Fringe◆Proven
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 65.5%
A
ayosussybenny
Entry 51¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 56.3%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 72¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 68.9%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 25¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 67.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$224
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$57(-25.5%)
Whales
8
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 29¢·303.2 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $88 · WR 56.8%
H
hitunfar🥈
Entry 46¢·106.3 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $49 · WR 61.1%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥉
Entry 48¢·80 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $38 · WR 79.3%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 40¢·53.1 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $21 · WR 59.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 35¢·58.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 57.7%
P
parameter1
Entry 36¢·14.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 61.7%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 30¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.1%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 79¢·1 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 67.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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