Polymarket wallet 0x4dc0…b5b8

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4dc0…b5b8 has made 182 trades on Polymarket across 81 markets, $2,041 in volume. Most of it is in politics (20%) and geopolitics (16%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$94. It holds 67 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?Yes · $21 · 32¢ → 67¢
• Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Yes · $17 · 31¢ → 52¢
• Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $16 · 21¢ → 34¢
• Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?Yes · $15 · 37¢ → 56¢
• Will there be 5+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes · $14 · 59¢ → 83¢
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?Yes · $14 · 38¢ → 53¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?Yes · $14 · 42¢ → 58¢
• Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes · $13 · 36¢ → 48¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?Yes · $13 · 32¢ → 43¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $13 · 21¢ → 27¢

Latest closed positions

• Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Yes · +$20 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in October?Yes · +$8 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Purdue have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes · +$4 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in October?Yes · +$6 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?Yes · +$45 · Oct 11, 2026
• Spain snap election called in 2026?Yes · +$11 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.