260 days left
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$6.2K
249 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 86 traders
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $19.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs2 NO
78%22%
78% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 73%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$494+10 new NO$208
$72 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $1.3K·NO $208YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+1.8%)
Whales
7
W
wish-🥇
Entry 75¢·1,165.5 shares
Invested
$871
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $871 · WR 84.0%
I
iutwpfal🥈
Entry 81¢·456 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $369 · WR 74.1%
H
hithitfar🥉
Entry 54¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $27 · WR 59.7%
K
kitty07
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 71.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 83¢·11.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 68.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 71¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 68.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 39¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$208
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$122(+58.7%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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