Tech/AI23 days left

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

49¢

49% implied

NO Price

51¢

51% implied

Volume

$17

3 trades

Smart Whales

of 3 traders

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

9 MARKETS · $31.8K MATCHED

Smart Money

by October 31, 2026

94¢−23¢$13.4K5/2

by October 31, 2026−23¢94¢

$13.4K5/2

by December 31, 2026

99¢−28¢$9.8K5/2

by December 31, 2026−28¢99¢

$9.8K5/2

by September 30, 2026

39¢+21¢$3.6K3/2

by September 30, 2026+21¢39¢

$3.6K3/2

by September 23, 2026

1¢—$1.7K0/0

by September 23, 2026—1¢

$1.7K0/0

by September 27, 2026

8¢—$1.6K0/0

by September 27, 2026—8¢

$1.6K0/0

by September 25, 2026

3¢—$1.7K0/0

by September 25, 2026—3¢

$1.7K0/0

by October 15, 2026←

49¢—$00/0

by October 15, 2026←—49¢

$00/0

by September 29, 2026

49¢—$00/0

by September 29, 2026—49¢

$00/0

by September 28, 2026

49¢—$00/0

by September 28, 2026—49¢

$00/0

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs0 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on YES

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%

+2 new YES$5+1 new NO$15

1 smart whale0 smart whales

YES Team

Total Invested

$10

Avg Win Rate

58.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-3.0%)

Whales

$-0INV $10 · WR 58.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on NO

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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