Tech/AI8 days left
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$3.6K
190 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 70 traders
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
9 MARKETS · $31.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$357+10 new NO$253
$143 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $127 is directional: YES $109·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$267(+244.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$119
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+12.1%)
Whales
4
M
melonmanm🥇
Entry 47¢·154.3 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $73 · WR 70.0%
L
lightsout912🥈
Entry 58¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $29 · WR 69.2%
P
parameter1🥉
Entry 86¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $15 · WR 61.1%
P
piggyramen
Entry 54¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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