🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Tech/AI5 days left

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$1.6K
147 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 89 traders

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

6 MARKETS · $31.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

19 YESvs19 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+51 new YES$449+56 new NO$1.1K
$275 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $227 is directional: YES $26·NO $201
YES Team
Total Invested
$176
Avg Win Rate
56.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$148(-84.4%)
Whales
19
L
lamyk🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·224.5 shares·also $63 on NO
$-133INV $150 · WR 55.3%
F
0xf0d27a33...🥈
Entry 34¢·6.6 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.9%
A
0xad0e338e...🥉
Entry 34¢·6.3 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.8%
F
0xfb4e9174...
Entry 33¢·6.5 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 58.0%
2
0x23604c1c...
Entry 33¢·6.5 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 58.3%
5
0x5602dc58...
Entry 33¢·6.2 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 67.7%
E
easyautomate
Entry 25¢·7.2 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.7%
7
0x700b38b3...
Entry 34¢·4.6 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.5%
B
0xbdd0ce25...
Entry 34¢·3.3 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.0%
8
0x8e78fa74...
Entry 33¢·3.2 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 19

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 573ms