Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

21¢

21% implied

NO Price

79¢

79% implied

Volume

$1.8K

131 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 53 traders

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $18.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

by a margin of 15% or more

29¢+18¢$10.3K8/9

by a margin of 15% or more+18¢29¢

by a margin of 10-15%

23¢+7¢$2.1K3/7

by a margin of 10-15%+7¢23¢

by a margin of 5-10%←

21¢+17¢$1.8K3/5

by a margin of 5-10%←+17¢21¢

by a margin of 0-5%

22¢−8¢$1.1K1/6

by a margin of 0-5%−8¢22¢

by a margin of 0-5%

7¢−7¢$8580/5

by a margin of 0-5%−7¢7¢

by a margin of 5-10%

2¢−2¢$9390/6

by a margin of 5-10%−2¢2¢

by a margin of 10-15%

1¢−1¢$1.1K0/5

by a margin of 10-15%−1¢1¢

by a margin of 15% or more

2¢−2¢$3960/4

by a margin of 15% or more−2¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%

+5 new YES$103+4 new NO$74

YES Team

Total Invested

$97

Avg Win Rate

70.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$51(-52.7%)

Whales

2

melchior1248🥇

Entry 46¢·148 shares

$-37INV $68 · WR 69.1%

Entry 42¢·69.7 shares

$-14INV $29 · WR 72.2%

NO Team

Total Invested

$120

Avg Win Rate

84.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$44(+37.2%)

Whales

5

qwen4.1.fund🥇

Entry 66¢·100 shares

+$13INV $66 · WR 85.9%

Entry 50¢·36 shares

+$10INV $18 · WR 81.1%

Entry 50¢·31.9 shares

+$9INV $16 · WR 79.5%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 89.0%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 85.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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