Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
YES Price
37Ā¢
37% implied
NO Price
63Ā¢
63% implied
Volume
$6.1K
280 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 101 traders
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS Ā· $13.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs9 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars Ā· 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%Ā· net of hedges
+12 new YES$173+18 new NO$376
$106 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers ā left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $945 is directional: YES $233Ā·NO $712YES Team
Total Invested
$851
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$97(-11.4%)
Whales
7
C
CAQZeroSeatsāProvenš„
Entry 49Ā¢Ā·1,250 shares
Invested
$616
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $616 Ā· WR 63.6%
T
TheOne777āProvenš„
Entry 34Ā¢Ā·336.1 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $113 Ā· WR 75.8%
I
Isengard1š„
Entry 33Ā¢Ā·232 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $76 Ā· WR 61.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 19Ā¢Ā·198.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $37 Ā· WR 72.2%
3
0x3cd3567a...
Entry 35Ā¢Ā·11.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 Ā· WR 92.3%
O
oneofthepplāProven
Entry 41Ā¢Ā·8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 Ā· WR 63.1%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 Ā· WR 69.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$872
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-1.1%)
Whales
9
W
willsomš„
Entry 68Ā¢Ā·912.2 shares
Invested
$623
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $623 Ā· WR 61.5%
W
Winged-Holderš„
Entry 64Ā¢Ā·140.1 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $90 Ā· WR 63.2%
A
AmericaFirst1š„
Entry 55Ā¢Ā·99 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $54 Ā· WR 60.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $50 Ā· WR 85.9%
V
vaportrades
Entry 41Ā¢Ā·50 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $21 Ā· WR 59.3%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $18 Ā· WR 81.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 46Ā¢Ā·19.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 Ā· WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 44Ā¢Ā·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 Ā· WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 Ā· WR 87.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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