Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$2.1K
96 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 48 traders
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $18.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$36+3 new NO$153
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12 is directional: YES $1·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$90
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-50.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$96
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+41.6%)
Whales
7
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 61¢·50 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $31 · WR 85.9%
A
Admirable-Hobby🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $18 · WR 82.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 50¢·31.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $16 · WR 79.1%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 62.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 56¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 88.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 56¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 87.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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