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Geopolitics3 days left

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
52ยข
52% implied
NO Price
48ยข
48% implied
Volume
$855
68 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 35 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

6 MARKETS ยท $367.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs3 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars ยท 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%ยท net of hedges
+14 new YES$256+13 new NO$303
$110 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$0 of $108 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $106ยทNO $1
YES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$32(-14.5%)
Whales
8
K
Konfucious๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 50ยขยท200 shares
+$4INV $100 ยท WR 62.8%
W
WarriorPooh๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 51ยขยท101 shares
$-12INV $52 ยท WR 55.1%
R
Raskell๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 86ยขยท41.2 shares
$-19INV $35 ยท WR 62.5%
P
Poory
Entry 70ยขยท20 shares
$-6INV $14 ยท WR 83.0%
J
Jydyjyd
Entry 54ยขยท20 shares
$-0INV $11 ยท WR 60.1%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 34ยขยท9.5 sharesยทalso $19 on NO
+$2INV $3 ยท WR 58.5%
B
badatthishedged
Entry 48ยขยท5.9 sharesยทalso $0 on NO
$-0INV $3 ยท WR 64.5%
Y
yueyueyn
Entry 48ยขยท5 shares
$-0INV $2 ยท WR 63.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 53% YES: Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meetingโ€ฆ