Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 10-13%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.3K
91 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 41 traders
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$49+9 new NO$796
$72 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $739 is directional: YES $173·NO $566YES Team
Total Invested
$297
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$266(-89.8%)
Whales
3
S
sollydisa🥇hedged
Entry 83¢·149.3 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$124
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $124 · WR 57.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $117 · WR 71.8%
M
mrworldwide🥉
Entry 35¢·160.8 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $56 · WR 76.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$813
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$76(+9.3%)
Whales
8
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 98¢·568.5 shares
Invested
$557
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $557 · WR 57.9%
S
sollydisa🥈hedged
Entry 77¢·149.3 shares·also $124 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $115 · WR 57.1%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 69¢·104.1 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $72 · WR 79.4%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 96¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $38 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $14 · WR 85.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 85.1%
J
jzr09
Entry 70¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 67.4%
G
Giant-Unemployment
Entry 69¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 81.9%
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