Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.4K
82 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 47 traders
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$54+14 new NO$1.0K
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $789 is directional: YES $122·NO $667YES Team
Total Invested
$122
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$115(-94.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$393(+37.1%)
Whales
11
V
vinii🥇
Entry 98¢·448.2 shares
Invested
$437
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $437 · WR 65.4%
S
Snoorrason🥈
Entry 50¢·543.5 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$268
+$268INV $272 · WR 72.6%
M
mrworldwide🥉
Entry 95¢·126.1 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $120 · WR 76.2%
T
TheOne777
Entry 84¢·110 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $93 · WR 76.1%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·104.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $52 · WR 79.4%
M
maomao228
Entry 86¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 61.4%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 85.9%
E
Enchanted-Eleventh
Entry 74¢·20.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 73.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $14 · WR 85.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 97¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.0%
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