Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$2.6K
88 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 47 traders
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $11.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs6 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%
+4 new YES$133+8 new NO$24
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $703 is directional: YES $408·NO $295YES Team
Total Invested
$412
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$815(+197.7%)
Whales
9
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 90¢·129 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $117 · WR 57.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$545
+$545INV $117 · WR 71.8%
M
mrworldwide🥉
Entry 33¢·250 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $82 · WR 76.2%
R
Romiche22
Entry 47¢·170 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $80 · WR 57.8%
P
Plain-Wrap
Entry 34¢·22.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $8 · WR 77.3%
J
jzr09hedged
Entry 56¢·7.3 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 67.4%
B
Balancedmind
Entry 34¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 57.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 45¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 68.0%
B
BKno95
Entry 0¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 71.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$321
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$284(-88.5%)
Whales
6
B
BiDiFakePolls🥇
Entry 52¢·562.5 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $295 · WR 58.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 63¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 85.0%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 7¢·52 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 79.4%
J
jzr09hedged
Entry 32¢·7.4 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 67.4%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 7¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 6¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.2%
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