2 days left
Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during RNC Convention?
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$765
70 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 26 traders
What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
20 MARKETS · $12.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention
77¢−14¢$7325/3Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention−14¢77¢
$7325/3
Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention
23¢−3¢$4541/4Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention−3¢23¢
$4541/4
Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention
34¢+23¢$1.4K4/3Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention+23¢34¢
$1.4K4/3
Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during RNC Convention
82¢—$1400/0Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during RNC Convention—82¢
$1400/0
Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention
75¢−42¢$5492/4Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention−42¢75¢
$5492/4
Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention
12¢+88¢$3073/0Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention+88¢12¢
$3073/0
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention
73¢−6¢$4052/1Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention−6¢73¢
$4052/1
Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention
69¢−2¢$6882/1Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention−2¢69¢
$6882/1
Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention
32¢+12¢$8404/5Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention+12¢32¢
$8404/5
Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention
82¢−32¢$3961/1Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention−32¢82¢
$3961/1
Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention
78¢—$3500/0Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention—78¢
$3500/0
Will JD Vance say "Iran" 3+ times during RNC Convention
25¢—$00/0Will JD Vance say "Iran" 3+ times during RNC Convention—25¢
$00/0
Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Israeli" during RNC Convention
19¢−19¢$3980/3Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Israeli" during RNC Convention−19¢19¢
$3980/3
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention
72¢−72¢$1.6K0/4Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention−72¢72¢
$1.6K0/4
Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention
74¢−57¢$5361/5Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention−57¢74¢
$5361/5
Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention
79¢+21¢$1.7K6/0Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention+21¢79¢
$1.7K6/0
Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention
70¢—$00/0Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention—70¢
$00/0
Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention
73¢−23¢$5271/1Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention−23¢73¢
$5271/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs5 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 73%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$2+2 new NO$1
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $213 is directional: YES $91·NO $121YES Team
Total Invested
$91
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$49(+53.5%)
Whales
5
P
Platykurtic🥇
Entry 40¢·190 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $75 · WR 64.3%
L
lekkerweertje🥈
Entry 44¢·17.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 57.6%
1
0x1386a7fb...🥉
Entry 42¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 74.3%
I
IcarusTrading
Entry 38¢·7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 63.7%
M
motardio
Entry 38¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$121
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-36.2%)
Whales
5
A
aliiz🥇
Entry 63¢·83 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $52 · WR 68.2%
J
Jamieeee🥈
Entry 61¢·55.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $34 · WR 56.3%
D
DuneMentat🥉
Entry 64¢·43 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $28 · WR 72.2%
P
Prize-Obi
Entry 41¢·18 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 60.2%
B
badatthis
Entry 32¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 64.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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