Geopolitics2 days left
Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention?
YES Price
69¢
69% implied
NO Price
31¢
31% implied
Volume
$688
25 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 13 traders
What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
20 MARKETS · $12.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention
77¢−14¢$7325/3Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention−14¢77¢
$7325/3
Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention
23¢−3¢$4541/4Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention−3¢23¢
$4541/4
Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention
34¢+23¢$1.4K4/3Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention+23¢34¢
$1.4K4/3
Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during RNC Convention
82¢—$1400/0Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during RNC Convention—82¢
$1400/0
Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention
75¢−42¢$5492/4Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention−42¢75¢
$5492/4
Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention
12¢+88¢$3073/0Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention+88¢12¢
$3073/0
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention
73¢−6¢$4052/1Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention−6¢73¢
$4052/1
Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention←
69¢−2¢$6882/1Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention←−2¢69¢
$6882/1
Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention
32¢+12¢$8404/5Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention+12¢32¢
$8404/5
Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention
82¢−32¢$3961/1Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention−32¢82¢
$3961/1
Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention
78¢—$3500/0Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention—78¢
$3500/0
Will JD Vance say "Iran" 3+ times during RNC Convention
25¢—$00/0Will JD Vance say "Iran" 3+ times during RNC Convention—25¢
$00/0
Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Israeli" during RNC Convention
18¢−18¢$3980/3Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Israeli" during RNC Convention−18¢18¢
$3980/3
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention
72¢−72¢$1.6K0/4Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention−72¢72¢
$1.6K0/4
Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention
74¢−57¢$5361/5Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention−57¢74¢
$5361/5
Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention
75¢+25¢$1.7K6/0Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention+25¢75¢
$1.7K6/0
Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention
70¢—$00/0Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention—70¢
$00/0
Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention
73¢−23¢$5271/1Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention−23¢73¢
$5271/1
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs1 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$8+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $15·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+34.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-21.5%)
Whales
1
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