2 days left
Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$840
70 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 33 traders
What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
20 MARKETS · $12.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention
77¢−14¢$7325/3Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention−14¢77¢
$7325/3
Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention
23¢−3¢$4541/4Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention−3¢23¢
$4541/4
Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention
34¢+23¢$1.4K4/3Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention+23¢34¢
$1.4K4/3
Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during RNC Convention
82¢—$1400/0Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during RNC Convention—82¢
$1400/0
Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention
75¢−42¢$5492/4Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention−42¢75¢
$5492/4
Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention
12¢+88¢$3073/0Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention+88¢12¢
$3073/0
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention
73¢−6¢$4052/1Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention−6¢73¢
$4052/1
Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention
69¢−2¢$6882/1Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention−2¢69¢
$6882/1
Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention←
32¢+12¢$8404/5Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention←+12¢32¢
$8404/5
Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention
82¢−32¢$3961/1Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention−32¢82¢
$3961/1
Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention
78¢—$3500/0Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention—78¢
$3500/0
Will JD Vance say "Iran" 3+ times during RNC Convention
25¢—$00/0Will JD Vance say "Iran" 3+ times during RNC Convention—25¢
$00/0
Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Israeli" during RNC Convention
18¢−18¢$3980/3Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Israeli" during RNC Convention−18¢18¢
$3980/3
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention
72¢−72¢$1.6K0/4Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention−72¢72¢
$1.6K0/4
Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention
74¢−57¢$5361/5Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention−57¢74¢
$5361/5
Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention
75¢+25¢$1.7K6/0Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention+25¢75¢
$1.7K6/0
Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention
70¢—$00/0Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention—70¢
$00/0
Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention
73¢−23¢$5271/1Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention−23¢73¢
$5271/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs4 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$43+4 new NO$63
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $213 is directional: YES $101·NO $113YES Team
Total Invested
$126
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$41(-32.2%)
Whales
5
P
Platykurtic🥇
Entry 41¢·221.5 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $90 · WR 64.3%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 65¢·21 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 68.2%
-
-Dominus-🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $12 · WR 77.5%
L
lekkerweertje
Entry 51¢·15.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 57.6%
1
0x1386a7fb...
Entry 52¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 74.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$161
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+24.9%)
Whales
4
P
Prize-Obi🥇
Entry 59¢·146.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $87 · WR 60.2%
M
macrosteaks🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $40 · WR 59.9%
D
DuneMentat🥉
Entry 57¢·45 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $26 · WR 72.2%
-
-Dominus-hedged
Entry 42¢·20 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 77.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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