Geopolitics19 days left
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$6.3K
309 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 80 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
5 MARKETS · $19.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30
3¢+35¢$2.0K3/5Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30+35¢3¢
$2.0K3/5
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30←
41¢+1¢$6.3K5/7Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30←+1¢41¢
$6.3K5/7
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30
1¢+41¢$4.1K5/7Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30+41¢1¢
$4.1K5/7
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$137+16 new NO$374
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $227 is directional: YES $225·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$277
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$250(+90.1%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $140 · WR 71.9%
F
FishHunter🥈
Entry 28¢·175 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $49 · WR 73.2%
H
hymolu🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·64.6 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $48 · WR 80.0%
J
Jnf17
Entry 14¢·207 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $29 · WR 65.4%
B
BAO95889
Entry 28¢·26 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 56.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 69.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$63(+3.7%)
Whales
11
R
RememberAmalek🥇
Entry 58¢·2,548 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $1.5K · WR 65.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 52¢·105.6 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $54 · WR 79.5%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 54¢·100 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $54 · WR 85.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $43 · WR 85.6%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 64¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $26 · WR 79.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 55¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 85.9%
P
PollyForge
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 84.6%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 85.9%
H
hymoluhedged
Entry 25¢·15 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 80.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 28¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 88.2%
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