Geopolitics19 days left
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?
YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$4.8K
279 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 79 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
5 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30
2¢+36¢$2.0K3/5Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30+36¢2¢
$2.0K3/5
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30
45¢−3¢$6.3K5/7Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30−3¢45¢
$6.3K5/7
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30
1¢+41¢$4.0K5/7Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30+41¢1¢
$4.0K5/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs8 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$348+11 new NO$248
$88 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $893 is directional: YES $687·NO $206YES Team
Total Invested
$776
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$803(+103.5%)
Whales
8
R
RememberAmalek🥇
Entry 21¢·1,946.7 shares
Invested
$416
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$579
+$579INV $416 · WR 65.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 20¢·700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$218
+$218INV $140 · WR 71.9%
M
Mandalorec🥉
Entry 51¢·160 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $81 · WR 58.5%
J
Jnf17hedged
Entry 51¢·156 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $80 · WR 65.4%
W
wert4
Entry 50¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 68.1%
F
fi5h
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 61.7%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 61.8%
H
hymolu
Entry 37¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 80.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$313
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-0.8%)
Whales
8
C
Careful-Bunch🥇
Entry 51¢·197.6 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $101 · WR 55.5%
Z
Zenitoro🥈
Entry 51¢·194.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $100 · WR 55.7%
J
Jnf17🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·156 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $80 · WR 65.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 54¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 88.8%
G
Glistening-Naming
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 59.2%
P
PollyForge
Entry 4¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 84.6%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 148ms