Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.7K
115 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 50 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 24?
5 MARKETS · $19.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30
5¢+55¢$7693/2Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30+55¢5¢
$7693/2
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30
96¢−46¢$8324/4Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30−46¢96¢
$8324/4
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30
3¢+57¢$14.8K6/4Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30+57¢3¢
$14.8K6/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+4 new YES$1+5 new NO$56
1 smart whale4 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$61
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-76.4%)
Whales
4
F
fi5h🥇
Entry 11¢·225.7 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $25 · WR 62.1%
J
jollyblue🥈
Entry 16¢·100 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $16 · WR 74.2%
C
conkj🥉
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 55.1%
G
ghorrock
Entry 33¢·15 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 57.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$375(+28.1%)
Whales
8
M
Mrpike🥇
Entry 87¢·664.9 shares
Invested
$580
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $580 · WR 71.0%
P
PavtheGreat🥈
Entry 66¢·614 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $405 · WR 63.1%
R
Relaccsed🥉
Entry 86¢·265 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $229 · WR 56.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 89¢·77.3 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $69 · WR 79.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 79.5%
.
.perseverance
Entry 83¢·12 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 81.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 11¢·77.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $8 · WR 79.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 0¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $0 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 88.2%
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