Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$3.0K
146 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 67 traders
TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $32.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $256 is directional: YES $256·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$283
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$154(+54.4%)
Whales
5
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 80¢·195.9 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $156 · WR 57.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 40¢·192.8 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $77 · WR 78.2%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥉
Entry 95¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $23 · WR 81.5%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 20¢·80 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $16 · WR 58.4%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 28¢·40 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $11 · WR 62.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$193
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$175(-90.3%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 90¢·115.7 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $104 · WR 87.6%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 96¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $18 · WR 80.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 95¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 96¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 71.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 86.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 87.9%
M
merod
Entry 96¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 83.4%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 96¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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