Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$12.4K
340 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 116 traders
TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $32.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $69 is directional: YES $68·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$68
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-95.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$281
Avg Win Rate
82.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+18.3%)
Whales
11
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 99¢·125.9 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $125 · WR 78.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 73¢·115.7 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $84 · WR 87.6%
L
luciebot🥉
Entry 83¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 80.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 88.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 65¢·15 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 79.2%
L
lpgb
Entry 83¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 71.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 89.0%
M
merod
Entry 83¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 83.4%
R
RayGuy
Entry 91¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.9%
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