Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.5K
178 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 84 traders
TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $32.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$97
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$96(-98.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$141
Avg Win Rate
85.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$170(+120.5%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 68¢·115.7 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $79 · WR 87.6%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 92¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 80.5%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 93¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 71.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 87.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 86.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 90¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 79.2%
M
merod
Entry 92¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 83.4%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 92¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 86.1%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·125.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $0 · WR 78.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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