Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$1.1K
70 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 49 traders
TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $26 is directional: YES $26·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$35
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+11.8%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 8¢·189 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $14 · WR 57.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 10¢·116.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 78.2%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥉
Entry 6¢·86 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 6¢·60 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 62.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$401
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-5.0%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 96¢·87 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $83 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 98¢·75.6 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $74 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $50 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 96¢·50 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $48 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $29 · WR 89.0%
C
C.PM
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 82.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 70.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 87.4%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 92¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 78.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·17 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 86.5%
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