Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 30% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.3K
64 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 46 traders
TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $35 is directional: YES $35·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$35
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$32(-91.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$271
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$149(+55.1%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 92¢·87.5 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $80 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 92¢·50 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $46 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 92¢·29 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $26 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 92¢·27 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 88.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 71.9%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 87¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 82.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 98¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 88.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 84.1%
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