Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$9.1K
298 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 103 traders
TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$105(-96.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$240
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$208(+86.6%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 68¢·87 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $59 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 71¢·50.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $36 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 69¢·50 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $35 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 70¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $28 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $21 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 71.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 96¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 71.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 87.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.7%
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