Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$6.3K

349 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 90 traders

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $32.6K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges

+8 new YES$15+8 new NO$220

$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $60 is directional: YES $56·NO $3

YES Team

Total Invested

$58

Avg Win Rate

55.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$46(-79.1%)

Whales

3

Entry 15¢·381.6 shares

$-45INV $56 · WR 55.0%

arcjuice🥈hedged

Entry 8¢·20 shares·also $13 on NO

$-1INV $2 · WR 71.1%

Entry 8¢·1.1 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 88.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$260

Avg Win Rate

80.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$121(+46.5%)

Whales

12

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 77¢·68 shares

+$14INV $53 · WR 86.2%

quietparcel🥈

Entry 85¢·50 shares

+$6INV $43 · WR 88.7%

Entry 51¢·67.6 shares

+$32INV $34 · WR 79.6%

Entry 50¢·60 shares

+$29INV $30 · WR 86.2%

Entry 84¢·30 shares

+$4INV $25 · WR 87.0%

Entry 51¢·42.4 shares

+$20INV $22 · WR 56.0%

Entry 85¢·16 shares

+$2INV $14 · WR 84.7%

Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $2 on YES

+$6INV $13 · WR 71.1%

Entry 82¢·12.2 shares

+$2INV $10 · WR 55.6%

Entry 84¢·10.8 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 72.1%

Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 20% YES: the Democratic Party candidate win…