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Politics

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 6% or more?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.2K
127 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 53 traders

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $32.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$8+6 new NO$158
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$121(-93.0%)
Whales
3
T
TheOne777🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·135 shares·also $26 on NO
$-119INV $124 · WR 76.6%
M
miiland🥈
Entry 6¢·89 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 55.0%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 8¢·1.1 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 20% YES: the Democratic Party candidate win…