Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$8.5K
448 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 103 traders
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$16+2 new NO$160
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-65.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$171
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$56(+32.5%)
Whales
10
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 63¢·80 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $50 · WR 69.8%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 53¢·90 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $48 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 56¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $19 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 66.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 41¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $12 · WR 88.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 70¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 86.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 88.9%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 75¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 76.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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