Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$13.8K
504 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 120 traders
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$46+14 new NO$951
$68 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $259 is directional: YES $259·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$259
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+15.7%)
Whales
4
I
infinitychaser🥇
Entry 27¢·787.9 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $211 · WR 55.0%
J
Jesetrading🥈
Entry 37¢·100 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $37 · WR 67.5%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥉
Entry 34¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 72.7%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 29¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 76.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$205
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$72(+35.0%)
Whales
12
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $40 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $40 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $26 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 45¢·37.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $17 · WR 88.0%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 50¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 81.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 66.6%
M
Mountainous-Inconvenience-Shout
Entry 50¢·27.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 84.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 89.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 87.7%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 80.8%
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