Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 55%-60%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$1.5K
123 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 49 traders
NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$5+5 new NO$98
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $78 is directional: YES $49·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
56.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-81.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$171
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$47(+27.5%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 69¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $57 · WR 88.0%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $33 · WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $33 · WR 79.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 72.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 66.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 80¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.6%
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