Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 65%-70%?
YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$6.2K
323 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 81 traders
NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$22+5 new NO$102
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $0·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$240
Avg Win Rate
92.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$122(-50.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$340
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-7.4%)
Whales
10
A
Anjun◆Proven🥇
Entry 81¢·111 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $90 · WR 58.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 71¢·97.2 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $69 · WR 88.0%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥉hedged
Entry 40¢·138.4 shares·also $240 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $55 · WR 92.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $29 · WR 79.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $29 · WR 88.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $23 · WR 69.8%
F
felton37Fingerlime4
Entry 77¢·24.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $19 · WR 56.3%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 81.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 73¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 66.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 460ms