Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 70%-75%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$4.7K
247 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 85 traders
NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$184+15 new NO$404
$245 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36 is directional: YES $1·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-37.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$273
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+9.2%)
Whales
9
A
Anjun◆Proven🥇
Entry 80¢·111 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $89 · WR 58.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 65¢·97.2 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $63 · WR 88.0%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 88.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 77¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 79.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 78¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 72.1%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 87¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 55.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 87.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 78¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 66.6%
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