Tech/AI112 days left
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$8.0K
301 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 79 traders
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
5 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher
95¢−25¢$2.0K7/3Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher−25¢95¢
$2.0K7/3
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher
90¢−36¢$7.2K7/6Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher−36¢90¢
$7.2K7/6
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher←
27¢+23¢$8.0K5/5Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher←+23¢27¢
$8.0K5/5
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs5 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$299+6 new NO$795
$28 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $609 is directional: YES $134·NO $475YES Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
84.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$114(-71.4%)
Whales
5
D
darthgeek1338🥇
Entry 22¢·575.5 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $125 · WR 87.7%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 87¢·29.7 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $26 · WR 77.8%
R
romanew-1-new🥉
Entry 13¢·48.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 65.5%
J
justcris
Entry 34¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 59.6%
V
vinii
Entry 41¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$501
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$100(+20.0%)
Whales
5
I
iutwpfal🥇
Entry 97¢·245.2 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $238 · WR 74.4%
K
KimchiCapital🥈
Entry 66¢·222.7 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $147 · WR 79.5%
F
fountaim🥉
Entry 89¢·101.5 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $90 · WR 74.1%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 56.2%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 20¢·29.7 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $6 · WR 77.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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