Tech/AI112 days left
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$2.0K
150 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 49 traders
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
5 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher←
95¢−25¢$2.0K7/3Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher←−25¢95¢
$2.0K7/3
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher
90¢−36¢$7.2K7/6Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher−36¢90¢
$7.2K7/6
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
27¢+23¢$8.0K5/5Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher+23¢27¢
$8.0K5/5
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs3 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$2.0K+17 new NO$37
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.1K is directional: YES $2.1K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$97(+4.6%)
Whales
8
I
iutwpfal🥇
Entry 98¢·1,568.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $1.5K · WR 74.4%
K
KimchiCapital🥈
Entry 88¢·407.1 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $358 · WR 79.5%
C
Computerdude111🥉
Entry 90¢·109.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $99 · WR 77.8%
M
molodoyy
Entry 91¢·82.1 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $75 · WR 65.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 13¢·70 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $9 · WR 65.5%
F
FrogChartshedged
Entry 26¢·20 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $5 · WR 67.1%
A
av4353hedged
Entry 151¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.0%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 92¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$86
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$81(-94.6%)
Whales
3
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·70 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$65
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $65 · WR 65.5%
F
FrogCharts🥈hedged
Entry 115¢·17.7 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 67.1%
A
av4353🥉hedged
Entry 76¢·1 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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