Tech/AI112 days left
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
YES Price
90¢
90% implied
NO Price
10¢
10% implied
Volume
$7.2K
281 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 89 traders
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
5 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher
95¢−25¢$2.0K7/3Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher−25¢95¢
$2.0K7/3
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher←
90¢−36¢$7.2K7/6Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher←−36¢90¢
$7.2K7/6
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
27¢+23¢$8.0K5/5Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher+23¢27¢
$8.0K5/5
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$183+12 new NO$1.1K
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $724·NO $547YES Team
Total Invested
$808
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$750(-92.9%)
Whales
6
D
darthgeek1338🥇
Entry 79¢·857.9 shares
Invested
$680
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-651
$-651INV $680 · WR 87.7%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 905¢·8.6 shares·also $89 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $78 · WR 65.5%
N
NoTeacher🥉
Entry 64¢·33.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $22 · WR 56.2%
M
molodoyy
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 65.2%
S
Subdued-Pastahedged
Entry 30¢·20 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $6 · WR 86.0%
F
Forsaken-Accomplishment
Entry 52¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 66.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$663
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$161(+24.3%)
Whales
7
K
KimchiCapital🥇
Entry 86¢·340.2 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $293 · WR 79.5%
F
fountaim🥈
Entry 34¢·320.1 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $108 · WR 74.1%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 1026¢·8.6 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$89
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $89 · WR 65.5%
C
Computerdude111
Entry 96¢·80.9 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $78 · WR 77.8%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 68¢·81.2 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $55 · WR 74.4%
S
Subdued-Pastahedged
Entry 140¢·20 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $28 · WR 86.0%
O
ogi250
Entry 46¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $13 · WR 58.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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