Geopolitics13 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$8.1K
352 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 137 traders
August Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.2% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026
2¢+23¢$3502/6by ≤0.2% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026+23¢2¢
$3502/6
by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026
12¢+26¢$8263/5by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026+26¢12¢
$8263/5
by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026←
39¢−1¢$8.1K17/28by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026←−1¢39¢
$8.1K17/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs28 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team124 traders
Total Invested
$297
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$138(-46.6%)
Whales
17
S
Subdued-Pasta🥇
Entry 79¢·339 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $268 · WR 86.1%
0
0x0575b6f6...🥈
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.0%
0
0x0f75a34f...🥉
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.1%
1
0x1aefa4d0...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.6%
1
0x1d39f5d1...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.0%
2
0x26f4b1b0...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 71.0%
3
0x3bcedb75...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 61.0%
5
0x51176f35...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 65.3%
5
0x5f3e2a89...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.3%
7
0x7df613c9...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team124 traders
Total Invested
$635
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+0.9%)
Whales
28
S
Subdued-Pasta🥇
Entry 64¢·339 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $217 · WR 86.1%
I
IndianBieber🥈
Entry 62¢·267.7 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $166 · WR 70.2%
M
Mysaria🥉
Entry 72¢·78.5 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $57 · WR 89.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 63¢·80 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 85.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·25 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 79.3%
M
Mysaria
Entry 33¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $15 · WR 89.2%
4
0x4f7d0bd3...
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 55.0%
5
0x59ab96d2...
Entry 63¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 59.6%
4
0x4f7d0bd3...
Entry 56¢·17.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 55.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 29¢·25 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $7 · WR 79.3%
Showing top 10 of 28
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