GeopoliticsResolved
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$12.6K
620 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 201 traders
August Inflation China - Annual
6 MARKETS · $53.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026←
0¢+26¢$12.6K14/39by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026←+26¢0¢
$12.6K14/39
by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
1¢+9¢$1.4K2/19by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026+9¢1¢
$1.4K2/19
by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
1¢+10¢$1.6K2/16by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026+10¢1¢
$1.6K2/16
by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
14¢−2¢$15.9K3/23by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026−2¢14¢
$15.9K3/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs39 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $132 is directional: YES $14·NO $118YES Team
Total Invested
$888
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$880(-99.1%)
Whales
14
F
FrozenParasite🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·350 shares·also $250 on NO
Invested
$343
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-343
$-343INV $343 · WR 56.4%
S
Subdued-Pasta🥈hedged
Entry 79¢·339 shares·also $217 on NO
Invested
$268
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-268
$-268INV $268 · WR 85.5%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 39¢·337.6 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $133 · WR 55.0%
K
kaixinwanhedged
Entry 79¢·109.7 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$86
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $86 · WR 79.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 32¢·100 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 57.7%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYERhedged
Entry 16¢·70 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 67.0%
0
0x0575b6f6...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.9%
0
0x0f75a34f...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.8%
1
0x1aefa4d0...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.0%
5
0x51176f35...
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 55.6%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+59.1%)
Whales
39
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 81¢·365.9 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $295 · WR 85.9%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 53¢·476.2 shares·also $343 on YES
Invested
$250
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$226
+$226INV $250 · WR 56.4%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 62¢·388.8 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $242 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·438.6 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $240 · WR 86.0%
S
Subdued-Pastahedged
Entry 64¢·339 shares·also $268 on YES
Invested
$217
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $217 · WR 85.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 56¢·363.6 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $205 · WR 55.3%
H
HarpoonSignals
Entry 68¢·244.7 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $166 · WR 93.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 55¢·238 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $131 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·129.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $89 · WR 79.6%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYERhedged
Entry 47¢·157.7 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$74
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $74 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 39
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