Polymarket wallet 0x1aef…8216

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1aef…8216 has made 181 trades on Polymarket across 97 markets, $333 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and economics (13%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 57%, lifetime P&L +$7. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 68¢ → 67¢
• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?No · $1 · 69¢ → 59¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes · $1 · 37¢ → 31¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · $1 · 78¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Yes · -$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Sep 29, 2026

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