Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$3.3K
147 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 56 traders
MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%
+2 new YES$17+2 new NO$64
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36 is directional: YES $36·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-3.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$326
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$286(+88.0%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 59¢·191.8 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $113 · WR 88.0%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥈
Entry 83¢·111 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $92 · WR 58.6%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 61¢·80 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $49 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $40 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 25¢·60 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $15 · WR 87.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 83¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 86.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 84.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 70¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 79.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $0 · WR 89.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $0 · WR 86.1%
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