Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 45% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$1.5K
84 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 41 traders
MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-54.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$391(+176.5%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 50¢·191.8 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $96 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 73¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $48 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 33¢·120 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $40 · WR 87.7%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 77.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 84.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 7¢·80 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $5 · WR 86.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 86.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $0 · WR 88.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $0 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $0 · WR 89.2%
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