Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$5.8K
215 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 72 traders
MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs10 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $129 is directional: YES $129·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$129
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$206(+159.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$192
Avg Win Rate
86.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+16.3%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 55¢·153.8 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $84 · WR 88.0%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 70¢·80 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $56 · WR 87.0%
R
Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $18 · WR 75.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 24¢·60 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $15 · WR 89.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 13¢·80 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $10 · WR 86.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 68.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 80¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 84.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $0 · WR 88.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $0 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $0 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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