Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3% or more?
YES Price
58¢
58% implied
NO Price
42¢
42% implied
Volume
$1.6K
83 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 40 traders
IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $34.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$399+8 new NO$225
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $78 is directional: YES $78·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$78
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+6.9%)
Whales
4
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 55¢·70 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $38 · WR 77.8%
M
mantou11🥈
Entry 35¢·108.6 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $38 · WR 56.2%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 16¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 55.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 8¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 87.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$203
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$84(-41.4%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 83¢·123.6 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $102 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 53¢·100 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $53 · WR 72.0%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 89¢·23 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $20 · WR 86.0%
A
anothercoin
Entry 99¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $13 · WR 84.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 86.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 6¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 88.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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