Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 18%-21%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$500
41 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 32 traders
IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $34.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+8 new YES$0+3 new NO$129
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21 is directional: YES $1·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-94.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$205
Avg Win Rate
85.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$135(+65.7%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 83¢·123.6 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $103 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 99¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 86.1%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 64.5%
A
anothercoin
Entry 99¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 84.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $10 · WR 86.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 86.1%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $0 · WR 77.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 0¢·89.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $0 · WR 86.0%
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