Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$5.7K
245 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 85 traders
IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $34.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+7 new YES$3+5 new NO$292
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $129 is directional: YES $17·NO $112YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-51.1%)
Whales
4
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥇
Entry 11¢·100 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $11 · WR 69.8%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 11¢·43.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 66.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 8¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 79.2%
A
aliiz
Entry 102¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$420
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$62(+14.7%)
Whales
12
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 98¢·150.8 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $149 · WR 88.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 80¢·123.6 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $99 · WR 87.6%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 98¢·70 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $69 · WR 96.3%
A
0xa24d776f...
Entry 56¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $29 · WR 87.0%
M
mantou11
Entry 90¢·30.2 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 56.2%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 95¢·13.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 64.5%
A
anothercoin
Entry 89¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 84.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 81.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 86.1%
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