Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$7.8K
245 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 87 traders
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $49.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs14 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$20
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $51 is directional: YES $51·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$57(-97.5%)
Whales
5
P
Patersd🥇
Entry 24¢·73 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 60.4%
G
GirlOnFire🥈
Entry 21¢·80 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 66.2%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 21¢·80 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 72.2%
F
fkpahedged
Entry 27¢·30 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 62.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 5¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$513
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$76(+14.7%)
Whales
14
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 83¢·220 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $183 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 80¢·76.2 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $61 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 71.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 96¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 88.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 88.5%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 93¢·27 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 87.6%
F
fkpahedged
Entry 82¢·30 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $25 · WR 62.2%
K
korda77
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 84.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 89.0%
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