Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$17.0K
447 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 150 traders
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $49.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs14 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%
+1 new YES$9+2 new NO$1
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $460 is directional: YES $403·NO $57YES Team
Total Invested
$403
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$231(+57.2%)
Whales
7
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 79¢·348.4 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $276 · WR 55.9%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥈
Entry 36¢·111 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $40 · WR 58.4%
D
deepervalue🥉
Entry 90¢·41 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 76.2%
G
GirlOnFire
Entry 27¢·80 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $22 · WR 66.2%
S
sweetj
Entry 24¢·80 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $19 · WR 72.2%
T
TrangNgo
Entry 98¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 92.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 5¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$457
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$414(-90.7%)
Whales
14
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 67¢·220 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $147 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 65¢·139 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $90 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 69¢·76.2 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $52 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 78¢·60 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $47 · WR 87.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 78¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $39 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 88.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 75.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 30¢·50 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 71.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 20¢·60 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 87.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 80¢·12 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 14
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 656ms