Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$7.4K
304 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 119 traders
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $49.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$19
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $98 is directional: YES $94·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$94
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$53(-56.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$523
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+17.3%)
Whales
13
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 82¢·220 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $181 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 85¢·134 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $114 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 71¢·76.2 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $54 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 81¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $40 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 69¢·50 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $34 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $26 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 83¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 87.5%
C
C.PM
Entry 69¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $21 · WR 82.9%
K
korda77
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 84.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 85¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 85.7%
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