Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$3.7K
144 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 74 traders
FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $35.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs13 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+0.8%)
Whales
6
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 98¢·508 shares
Invested
$498
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $498 · WR 92.0%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 97¢·312.1 shares
Invested
$303
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $303 · WR 78.2%
P
probability◆Proven🥉
Entry 91¢·222.3 shares
Invested
$202
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $202 · WR 61.1%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 87¢·127.2 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $111 · WR 81.5%
R
RayGuy
Entry 90¢·60 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $54 · WR 57.9%
D
deepervalue
Entry 91¢·33 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 76.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$337
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$318(-94.3%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 96¢·109.8 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $106 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 94¢·44.8 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $42 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $39 · WR 88.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 49¢·70 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $34 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 30¢·101.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $30 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 63¢·32.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 71.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 70.0%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 84¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 86.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 87.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 85.6%
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