Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$9.9K
353 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 115 traders
FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $35.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-93.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$330
Avg Win Rate
81.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$158(+47.9%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 67¢·109.8 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $74 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 94¢·75 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $71 · WR 88.5%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 70.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $29 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 59¢·32.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $19 · WR 71.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 17¢·101.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $17 · WR 86.1%
A
Analyse24ResultsBeforehedged
Entry 81¢·20 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 62.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 87¢·12.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 93¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 66.7%
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