Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.9K
297 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 113 traders
FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $35.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs14 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$5
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $0·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$116
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$115(-99.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$581
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$117(+20.2%)
Whales
14
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 99¢·196.3 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $195 · WR 61.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 87¢·101.2 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $88 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 73¢·109.8 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $80 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 88¢·75 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $66 · WR 86.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 70¢·90 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $63 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $29 · WR 87.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 48¢·32.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $15 · WR 71.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 72¢·14 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 79.2%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 97¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 88.5%
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